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Assumption Roadmap

By actively acknowledging assumptions, assessing risks, and planning for uncertainties, Agile teams create an environment where adaptability, informed decision-making, and risk reduction thrive. In the ever-evolving landscape of Agile methodologies, the Assumptions Roadmap principle serves as a guiding light that empowers teams to navigate uncertainty and steer projects toward success.

Assumption Roadmap

An Assumptions Roadmap is a method used in Agile teams to manage the assumptions and uncertainties associated with a project. It provides a structured way to capture the team's assumptions, and the ways to reduce riks and uncertainties. 




Key Elements of Assumptions Roadmap in Agile Teams:

  1. Assumption Identification: Agile teams actively identify and document assumptions—beliefs or expectations that are taken for granted—related to the project. These can include technical, market, or user-related assumptions.

  2. Assumption Ponderation : Then, each hypothesis must be evaluated and prioritized according to its level of uncertainty and its level of criticality in relation to the success of the project.

  3. Mitigation Strategies: Teams proactively develop strategies to mitigate the identified uncertainties, which may involve testing assumptions, conducting experiments, or taking specific actions.

  4. Regular Review: The Assumptions Roadmap is not a static document; it is regularly reviewed and updated as new information becomes available or as the project progresses.


Significance of Assumptions Roadmap in Agile Teams:

  1. Risk Reduction: By identifying and addressing assumptions early, Agile teams can reduce the potential impact of incorrect assumptions on the project.

  2. Informed Decision-Making: The Assumptions Roadmap equips teams with the information needed to make informed decisions about project direction, scope, and prioritization.

  3. Enhanced Adaptability: Agile teams become more adaptable when they acknowledge uncertainty and actively plan for it. The Assumptions Roadmap supports their ability to pivot when necessary.

  4. Transparency and Collaboration: The roadmap promotes transparency within the team and encourages collaboration by involving team members in the identification and mitigation of assumptions.


How to Implement an Assumptions Roadmap in Agile Teams:

  1. Assumption Brainstorming: Encourage team members to actively participate in brainstorming sessions to identify assumptions. Consider using techniques like "assumption mapping"

  2. Prioritization: Assess the criticity with each assumption, considering their impact and likelihood. Use a R.I.C.E matrix or similar tools to prioritize.

  3. Mitigation Strategies: Develop strategies for testing or validating assumptions. This may include conducting experiments, surveys, or market research.

  4. Regular Review: Set a schedule for reviewing and updating the Assumptions Roadmap, ensuring that it remains a living document throughout the project.

  5. Communication: Share the Assumptions Roadmap with relevant stakeholders, ensuring that everyone is informed about the project's assumptions and the steps taken to mitigate associated risks.


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Julien Dreher

Coach Digital Product

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